Thursday, September 25, 2014

College Football

Very rough week last week; picking upsets will hurt your average when they pull a Clemson :(

10-4 T25 last week (64-11 (.853) overall) and 5-3 in the SEC (36-6 (.857) overall)

1]   Florida State travels to a much improved NC State; with Winston back it won't be much of a game for long as the NC State defense cannot handle the FSU attack; FSU by 24
5]   Auburn hosts La Tech; Tigers by 37
6]   Texas A&M hosts Arkansas; if this were at Arkansas I'd pick the upset. Arkansas will run for days on the A&M defense, but I don't think they have enough D to pull out the road win. Aggies by 7
7]   Baylor visits Iowa State; Baylor by 39
8]   Notre Dame travels to Syracuse; The 'Cuse needed a last second win to beat FCS Villanova ... this isn't Villanove, ND by 28
9]   Michigan State hosts Wyoming; Sparty by 31
10] Ole Miss hosts Memphis; As long as the Rebels don't take this one for granted, it should be an easy win. Rebels by 14
11] UCLA at 15] Arizona State; Hundley is still hurt (he may play) and the ASU offense is rolling; expect an upset here. State by 5
12] Georgia hosts Tennessee; Tennessee had a week off to get ready for Gurley and company and hopefully it will show. Expect UT to keep this close for at least 3 quarters, but not enough depth on the D-line will spell doom in the end. Bulldogs by 8
13] South Carolina hosts Missouri; Mizzou is coming off an embarrassing loss at home to Indiana and SC's last game was the monster win over Georgia. This is the classic trap game, but, Spurrier usually can skip those at home. A close game, SC by 3
16] Stanford at Washington; Stanford lost last time it traveled to UW, expect a different result this time. In the loss to USC, Stanford was never stopped by the Trojans, simply themselves. They'll fix those problems and methodically win over the Huskies. Tree by 11
17] LSU hosts New Mexico State; with a new QB, LSU by 40
18] USC hosts Oregon State; the Beavers will move the ball all day, they won't stop USC though. Trojans by 12
19] Wisconsin hosts South Florida; Don't expect 600+ yards rushing again, but it'll be over 400. Badgers by 47
21] Nebraska hosts Illinois; Nebraska will run over the Illini by 19
22] Ohio State hosts Cincinnati; the Buckeyes haven't lost to in-state teams in like 40 years (and not to Cincy since 1896). Expect that to change. OSU won't be able to stop the Cincy offense and the streak dies. Bearcats by 6
24] Oklahoma State hosts Texas Tech; shoot-out coming, OK State by 9
26] Kansas State looks to rebound against UTEP; they do, KState by 29

Vanderbilt (after that monster performance at SC) travels to Kentucky; UK will be looking to bounce back from the 3 overtime loss to Florida and they will. Vandy will be competitive but not the whole game. KY by 21

Wednesday, September 17, 2014

College Football

Bad week for me meh; 14-4 T25 last week (54-7 (.885) overall) and 10-1 in the SEC (31-3 (.912) overall). Another tough week in both T25 and SEC this week

1]   Florida State hosts 22] Clemson; Winston will sit out the 1st half, but Clemson won't be far enough ahead before he comes back... FSU by 7
2]   Oregon is at Washington State; years ago this would be the classic trap game, not this year. Ducks by 40
3]   Alabama hosts Florida; Florida struggled mightily with Kentucky last week and now goes on the road to a very good Bama squad. This used to be the 'it' game in the SEC and I have a feeling it will be intense this year. Going with a huge upset here; Gators by 3
4]   Oklahoma goes to West Virginia; OK got by Tennessee last week with relative ease (UT played a good game though) but they lost their top rusher; how will the OU defense handle the WV offense? Trickett is on fire and they are putting up points like it's the old days. I think it stays tight and high scoring, but OU gets by the Mountaineers by 7
5]   Auburn travels to 20] Kansas State; Thursday night game that will go a long way to determine if KSU is 'back' or not; I don't think they are, Tigers by 14
6]   Texas A&M travels to SMU; Aggies by 31
8]   LSU hosts Mississippi State; both undefeated although MSU hasn't played anyone worth mentioning. LSU's defense is on mid-season form and that will be the difference. Tigers by 8
11] Michigan State hosts Eastern Michigan; Can EMU get 100 yards of offense ... State by 49
13] Georgia hosts Troy; Bulldogs by 41
14] South Carolina at Vandy; this isn't last years Vanderbilt; SC by 37
18] Missouri hosts woeful Indiana; Mizzou by 31
19] Wisconsin with another cupcake hosting Bowling Green; Badgers by 33
21] BYU hosts giant-killers Virginia (and that D); BYU is poised to run the table, this will be the best defense they will play and I think it will show; UVA in a 2nd straight upset; Cavs by 4
24] Nebraska hosts Miami(FL); days gone by this would be HUGE, as it is it's still big; Miami has a ton of future pro-stars and Nebraska has a running game that won't quit (just like in yesteryear) ; Nebraska holds on by 8


Arkansas hosts Northern Illinois; the Razorbacks got the run game going in a big way last week in the upset of Texas Tech; they keep it going this week in the big win: Ark by 29

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

College Football

21-1 on the Top 25 last week (41-3(.932) overall) and 12-0 in the SEC (21-2(.913) overall) ... very good week. This week will be harder, much harder.

2]   Oregon hosts Wyoming, Ducks by 53
3]   Alabama hosts Southern Miss, classic mismatch. The Ala defense getting on track and they are finally settling on a starting QB (Simms). Expect Alabama to have this over at the half. UA by 41
4]   Oklahoma hosts Tennessee. I expect UT to make a great game of this. They are young and fast but Oklahoma has so many weapons that I just don't the the Vols will be able to get over the hump. They'll keep it close until the end, but garbage time will get the Sooners the win by 15
6]   Georgia is at 24] South Carolina. The bulldogs have problems in this stadium and they should expect this to be a very messy affair. SC will play much better than they did against Texas A&M to start the season, but Georgia has had a week off to prepare. UGA gets it done on the ground late and takes it by 7
7]   Texas A&M hosts Rice. A&M going to get fat eating all these creampuffs ... Aggies by 49
8]   Baylor travels to Buffalo (O.o); won't matter, Petty is starting and Buffalo has no chance. Bears by 61
9]   USC (off that very close win at Stanford) travels to Boston College. BC is tough at home but that won't last long, they don't have the athletes to hang with the Trojans. USC by 22
10] LSU hosts Louisiana-Monroe. Tigers by 48
11] Notre Dame hosts Purdue.  The Fighting Irish destroyed Michigan last week, Purdue was man-handled by a nobody. Look for Golsen to keep his Heisman chances alive with a ND 40 point win
12] UCLA heads to Texas. Should be a good game, Texas got destroyed by BYU (again) last week and UCLA has had problems with everyone. Texas is at home and this is basically a 'must-win' for Coach Strong. I'm going with the upset here and the Longhorns by 4
14] Ole Miss hosts Louisiana-Lafayette; Rebels by 34
15] Stanford hosts Army; this is a dangerous game for the Cardinal. Stanford lost a heart-breaker to USC last week and now have to deal with the running game that is Army. This stays close early, but Stanford will pull away late for a 18 point win
16] Arizona State at Colorado; ASU by 22
17] Virginia Tech hosts East Carolina; classic 'trap-game' after the big win over Ohio State last week. Expect VT to look out-of-sorts early but get it together later. VT takes it by 18
20] Missouri hosts UCF; Tigers by 17
21] Louisville at Virginia; Hot offense versus stout defense. Virginia should have beat UCLA at home and didn't, can they overcome the mistakes (3 turnovers for TD's) that killed them in that game? Louisville's offense is on fire but can be stopped. Upset Special, Virginia by 3
22] Ohio State hosts Kent State; the Buckeyes lost at home last week to VT (first time for Meyer) and will take out all the frustrations (7 sacks allowed, 3 turnovers) on KS. Buckeyes by 41
25] BYU hosts Houston; BYU is on fire and a trendy pick to go undefeated. Houston used to be good but not so much now; Cougars by 31

Vanderbilt hosts UMass; Vandy looks like the old 'Dores and that's not a good thing. Luckily enough, UMass is worse. Vandy by 1
Arkansas travels to Texas Tech; the Razorbacks looked good for a half against Auburn but the offense fizzled in the 2nd; expect them to be able to run on TT early and often. Upset by Ark (5)
Mississippi State travels to South Alabama (love that campus); this is the 1st time an SEC school has went to USA for a game, it will also be the 1st win for an SEC school at USA :)  State by 30
Undefeated Kentucky! travels to the swamp to take on Florida. Stoops has done a great job at UK so far, but he's not there yet. Gators easily by 27 (for the 28th straight win in the series)

Thursday, September 4, 2014

College Football

20-2(.909) on the Top 25 and 9-2(.818) on the SEC last week (who knew Vandy would be .. well Vandy heh). With Texas A&M rolling SC, I had no chance of a perfect week. Meh

New picks this week and I'll get to watch exactly none of it :(  We're going camping this weekend at Indian Boundary (Lindz and her fam are up from Cali) so I'll be cheering without knowing what's up :)

1]   Florida State (how?) will wreck The Citadel ... FSU by 58
2]   Alabama (defense needs work) will beat FAU by 48 (unless they decide to run up the score heh)
3]   Oregon at home against 7] Michigan State
      Classic offense (O) versus defense (MSU), if this was at State I may take them for the win, but I think their defense (while top-notch) will not be able to hold the Ducks for 4 full quarters. Oregon by 12
4]   Oklahoma is at Tulsa (o.O) but Tulsa is awful and Ok will be getting ready for a visit from re-vitalized UT next week. Won't matter though, Sooners by 40
5]   Auburn steps out and takes on San Jose State ... Tigers by 40
8]   Ohio State welcomes Virginia Tech; the Buckeyes lost their Heismann hopeful QB for the year and played a weak game against Navy; VT has been bad for awhile but their D is once again on track to be awesome.  I think VT gets it done and a little ACC pride comes through; Hokies by 1
9]   Texas A&M beats Lamar by 50
10] Baylor beats NW State by 60
11] UCLA at home against Memphis; the Bruins offense struggled last week (vs Virginia) but Memphis doesn't have the manpower to stop the Hundley offense. UCLA by 24
12] LSU beats Sam Houston State by 34
13] Stanford hosts 14] USC; should be a great game, can the Trojans handle the methodical offense of the Cardinal? I think not, Stanford by 4
15] Ole Miss at Vandy; after last week, UM by 15
16] Notre Dame hosts Michigan for the final time (for now); Both looked good last week against a pair of nobodies and the winner of this will be assumed by ESPN to be one of the top teams in the country. ND squeaks by on a late FG; ND by 2
17] Arizona State at New Mexico; Can the Sun Devils stop the Lobos rushing attack? (410 yards last week); I think not, but NM won't stop the offense of State either; ASU by 12
18] Wisconsin hosts Western Illinois; after losing a 17 point lead to LSU; the Badgers to win by 50
19] Nebraska by 50 over McNeese State
20] Kansas State at Iowa State (where ND state [FCS] won by 20); KState by 32
21] South Carolina will take out it's A&M frustration on East Carolina; Gamecocks by 27
21] North Carolina (neat tie there) looks to get better against a better foe; after barely beating Liberty (?!?) they host San Diego State; the Aztecs are usually good, although they've fallen a lot in recent years and won't have enough to stop the Tarheels in this one. NC by 15
23] Clemson gets over the loss to Georgia by beating South Carolina State by 50
24] Missouri hosts a dangerous Toledo team; UM wins, close (by 4)
25] Louisville over Murray State by 46

Tennessee goes to 2-0 by destroying Arkansas State by 28
Mississippi State keeps rolling, beats UAB by 30
Kentucky goes to 2-0 (wow) by beating Ohio by 5
Florida finally gets to end their 7-game losing streak. UF beats Eastern Michigan by 32
Arkansas runs (and runs and runs) over Nicholls State by 50